Episode 51 of the NonProphets podcast in which Robert, Atief and Scott discuss:


00:30 Hawaii's Incoming Ballistic Missile Alert – How 38 minutes did not convince Robert to “Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb”


14:20 Problems With a Bloody Nose Strategy in North Korea


15:55 Roman Hagelstein – Superforecaster, uberforecaster, and unassuming good guy


19:20 The Phil Tetlock-Nassim Taleb Twitter War – The debate about “skin in the game” and “tail risk”


34:25 PredictIt – State of the Union questions


38:10 Passion Over Rationality


41:00 Running for the Doors – Why are so many Congressmen retiring?


46:34 Where the Mueller Investigation Is Heading


As always, you may reach us at nonprophetspod.wordpress.com or nonprophetspod@gmail.com. (recorded 1/31/2018)